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Earliest retirement date by age, savings and spending.

150 round-number households, each run through the same engine as the free countdown calculator: the earliest month the money has a 90% chance of lasting to 95, and the most a household can spend a year and still retire today. For one person who adds nothing more.

Quick answer. For someone aged 60 who adds nothing more, $1,000,000 saved and $60,000 spent a year reaches 90% in Apr 2030 (as of October 31, 2026), while $40,000 a year already clears 90% today. The most that person could spend and still retire today at 90% is $50,000 a year, 5.0% of savings. At 55 the same $1,000,000 supports $44,000 (4.4%); at 65, $57,000 (5.7%).
How to read the tables. Each cell is the earliest month with at least a 90% chance the money lasts to age 95, counted from October 31, 2026, for one person who adds no more savings. "Now" means the household already clears 90% today. "After 75" means the engine only reaches 90% after age 75, which is not a retirement date. Spending is in today's dollars and rises with inflation. Social Security is the average benefit, $2,170 a month from 67. Find your age, your savings (round to the nearest row) and your spending (round to the nearest column).

What is the earliest retirement month for my age, savings and spending?

Age 55

Earliest month with a 90% chance the money lasts to 95, age 55, by savings and yearly spending
Saved$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000
$500,000Mar 2034Jan 2045After 75After 75After 75
$750,000Jun 2028Dec 2036Mar 2044After 75After 75
$1,000,000NowAug 2032May 2038Jan 2044After 75
$1,500,000NowNowNov 2031Aug 2036Mar 2040
$2,000,000NowNowDec 2026Jun 2031Jun 2035
$3,000,000NowNowNowNowJul 2027

9 of 30 combinations already clear 90% today.

Age 58

Earliest month with a 90% chance the money lasts to 95, age 58, by savings and yearly spending
Saved$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000
$500,000Jan 2032Nov 2043After 75After 75After 75
$750,000Jan 2027Jan 2035Mar 2043After 75After 75
$1,000,000NowDec 2030Apr 2037Nov 2042After 75
$1,500,000NowNowMay 2030Nov 2034Apr 2039
$2,000,000NowNowNowApr 2030Dec 2033
$3,000,000NowNowNowNowDec 2026

10 of 30 combinations already clear 90% today.

Age 60

Earliest month with a 90% chance the money lasts to 95, age 60, by savings and yearly spending
Saved$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000
$500,000Apr 2031After 75After 75After 75After 75
$750,000NowJan 2035After 75After 75After 75
$1,000,000NowApr 2030Jan 2037After 75After 75
$1,500,000NowNowSep 2029Aug 2034Jan 2039
$2,000,000NowNowNowAug 2029Mar 2033
$3,000,000NowNowNowNowNow

12 of 30 combinations already clear 90% today.

Age 62

Earliest month with a 90% chance the money lasts to 95, age 62, by savings and yearly spending
Saved$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000
$500,000Oct 2029After 75After 75After 75After 75
$750,000NowJan 2034After 75After 75After 75
$1,000,000NowAug 2028Aug 2035After 75After 75
$1,500,000NowNowJan 2028Dec 2032Mar 2037
$2,000,000NowNowNowDec 2027Aug 2031
$3,000,000NowNowNowNowNow

12 of 30 combinations already clear 90% today.

Age 65

Earliest month with a 90% chance the money lasts to 95, age 65, by savings and yearly spending
Saved$40,000$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,000
$500,000Jun 2028After 75After 75After 75After 75
$750,000NowJan 2033After 75After 75After 75
$1,000,000NowFeb 2027Nov 2034After 75After 75
$1,500,000NowNowJan 2027Aug 2032May 2036
$2,000,000NowNowNowJan 2027Jan 2031
$3,000,000NowNowNowNowNow

12 of 30 combinations already clear 90% today.

From the free retirement countdown calculator's engine, 400 simulated market histories for every year the household could retire. Illustrations of one engine's output, not forecasts or recommendations.

How much can I spend and still retire today?

The most yearly spending that still gives a 90% chance the money lasts to 95 if you stop now, rounded down to $1,000, with the share of savings it represents in brackets. It rises with age because there are fewer years to fund and Social Security and Medicare are closer. From $750,000 up it falls as savings rise, because the same Social Security benefit is a smaller share of a bigger plan.

Most yearly spending that still gives a 90% chance the money lasts to 95 if you retire today, by age and savings
SavedAge 55Age 58Age 60Age 62Age 65
$500,000$26,000 (5.2%)$28,000 (5.6%)$30,000 (6.0%)$33,000 (6.6%)$36,000 (7.2%)
$750,000$35,000 (4.7%)$39,000 (5.2%)$41,000 (5.5%)$44,000 (5.9%)$46,000 (6.1%)
$1,000,000$44,000 (4.4%)$48,000 (4.8%)$50,000 (5.0%)$53,000 (5.3%)$57,000 (5.7%)
$1,500,000$61,000 (4.1%)$66,000 (4.4%)$68,000 (4.5%)$73,000 (4.9%)$77,000 (5.1%)
$2,000,000$79,000 (4.0%)$84,000 (4.2%)$85,000 (4.2%)$93,000 (4.7%)$96,000 (4.8%)
$3,000,000$113,000 (3.8%)$119,000 (4.0%)$121,000 (4.0%)$131,000 (4.4%)$136,000 (4.5%)

Includes federal tax, the 10% early-withdrawal tax on pre-tax money before 59½, Medicare and pre-65 health costs, required distributions and a long-term-care cost late in life. The safe withdrawal rate post explains why a single percentage cannot fit every age.

What does more certainty cost in time?

The tables use 90%. For $1,000,000 saved and $60,000 spent a year, here is the earliest month at 85%, 90% and 95%, by age. The gap between them is the cost of certainty in time; the calculator post shows which inputs move it most.

Earliest month at 85%, 90% and 95% for $1,000,000 saved and $60,000 spent a year
Age85% sure90% sure95% sure
55Jun 2031Aug 2032Oct 2034
58Aug 2029Dec 2030Oct 2032
60Jan 2029Apr 2030Apr 2032
62Aug 2027Aug 2028Jan 2030
65Dec 2026Feb 2027May 2029

What does this table assume and leave out?

  • One person, filing single, planning to age 95, adding no more savings.
  • The money is split 60% traditional (pre-tax), 15% Roth, 20% taxable and 5% cash, invested 60% in stocks.
  • Social Security is claimed at 67 at the average benefit, $2,170 a month.
  • Left out: state tax, a spouse, pensions, rental income, your home and debts, Roth conversions, and exceptions to the early-withdrawal tax such as the Rule of 55 or 72(t).
  • Dates after 75 are shown as "After 75"; the CSV keeps the engine's month.

A spouse, a pension, part-time work or a different account mix can move your date well away from the nearest cell. Enter your own numbers in the calculator, or model every account in the full planner. Educational only, not tax, legal or financial advice.

Methodology: how were these numbers calculated?

Each cell is one run of the engine behind the free countdown calculator (engine/countdown_lite.py): for every year the household could retire, from this year on, it simulates 400 market histories with a fixed seed, pays the spending from the accounts in a tax-aware order, adds Social Security and health costs, and counts how often the money lasts to age 95. The earliest month where that chance reaches 90% is the cell, found by drawing a straight line between each year's chance and rounding up to a month. The "most you can spend" table searches spending in $500 steps for the highest amount whose 90% month is today. As of 2026-10-31.

What the table assumes and leaves out is listed once, in the section above.

Inputs and limits

The grid covers ages 55, 58, 60, 62, 65; savings of $500,000, $750,000, $1,000,000, $1,500,000, $2,000,000, $3,000,000; and yearly spending of $40,000, $60,000, $80,000, $100,000, $120,000: 150 households. Each is a round-number case, and a household between two cells is between their dates.

Worked example

A 60-year-old single person with $1,000,000 saved and $60,000 a year spent, as of October 31, 2026:

  • Earliest month at 85%: January 2029.
  • Earliest month at 90%: April 2030.
  • Earliest month at 95%: April 2032.
  • Most that person could spend and still retire today at 90%: $50,000 a year, 5.0% of savings.
  • At $40,000 a year, the same household already clears 90% today.

"Now" means the household already clears 90% today. "After 75" means the engine only reaches 90% after age 75, which is not a retirement date; the CSV keeps the engine's month.

Two dates on this page

The tables are as of 2026-10-31: dates are counted from that day and move at each monthly rebuild, which is a manual script, not automatic. The months can also shift slightly between builds because each cell is a rough run (400 simulated histories a year, against the planner's 2,000). A rebuild moves that as-of date; the review date below moves only when the methodology is re-checked.

The data is free to use with a link back, under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. Downloads: Earliest month by age, savings and spending (CSV) · Most yearly spending that supports retiring today (CSV).

To cite this data: Runway Retirement, "Earliest retirement date by age, savings and spending," runwayretirement.com/tools/retirement-date-grid.html, as of 2026-10-31. The dates move every month, so please name the as-of date.

Methodology last reviewed: November 2, 2026. This date moves only when the methodology is checked against the live data again, not when the page is rebuilt.

Frequently asked questions

Can I retire at 60 with $1 million?

It depends on spending. As of October 31, 2026, for a 60-year-old who adds nothing more, $1,000,000 saved and $40,000 spent a year already clears 90% today; $60,000 a year reaches 90% in Apr 2030; $80,000 a year reaches 90% in Jan 2037. The most that person could spend and still retire today at a 90% chance is $50,000 a year (5.0% of savings).

Can I retire at 55 with $2 million?

As of October 31, 2026, for a 55-year-old who adds nothing more, $2,000,000 saved and $80,000 spent a year reaches 90% in Dec 2026, and $100,000 a year reaches 90% in Jun 2031. The most that person could spend and still retire today at 90% is $79,000 a year (4.0% of savings). Retiring this early means more years to fund and the 10% early-withdrawal tax on pre-tax money before 59½, which the engine includes.

How much can I spend if I retire at 62 with $1.5 million?

As of October 31, 2026, the most a 62-year-old with $1,500,000 saved could spend a year and still have a 90% chance the money lasts to 95 if retiring today is $73,000 (4.9% of savings), counting Social Security at the average benefit of $2,170 a month from 67.

Why does the same savings support a higher withdrawal rate at 65 than at 55?

Fewer years to fund. A 55-year-old needs the money to last to 95, 40 years; a 65-year-old needs 30, with Social Security and Medicare closer. In this table $1,000,000 supports 4.4% at 55, 5.0% at 60 and 5.7% at 65.

How often is this table updated?

Monthly. Every date is counted from the day the table is built, October 31, 2026, so each refresh reruns the engine and moves the dates. The last-updated date at the top shows which version you are reading.

Is this a recommendation?

No. It is an educational illustration of one engine's output for round-number households, not tax, legal or financial advice. Your own accounts, taxes, spouse, state and Social Security change the answer, which is what the free countdown calculator and the full planner are for.

Find your own month. Five numbers, no signup: the earliest date at 85%, 90% and 95% for your household.

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